The West Bengal Assembly Elections are witnessing a high-stakes battle between the ruling TMC and the opposition BJP. Following various opinion polls, the ‘Satta Bazar’ has now released its projections, indicating a neck-and-neck contest. While the TMC appears to have a slight edge, the gap between the two giants is narrower than previously anticipated.

Projected Seat Shares
According to market estimates, the TMC is expected to secure between 158 and 161 seats, barely crossing the majority mark. On the other hand, the BJP is projected to deliver its strongest performance ever in the state, with an estimated 127 to 130 seats. The thin margin between the TMC’s minimum and BJP’s maximum seats reflects a highly volatile political atmosphere.

Impact of Welfare and Anti-incumbency
The success of the Mamata Banerjee government’s welfare schemes remains a core strength for the TMC. However, factors like anti-incumbency and the BJP’s aggressive campaign on issues like migration are significantly swaying the narrative. Additionally, the recent deletion of a large number of votes by the EC is expected to play a crucial role in the final tally.

At a Glance

Satta Bazar predicts a narrow victory for TMC with 158–161 seats.

BJP is expected to reach a historic high of 127–130 seats in West Bengal.

Welfare schemes vs. anti-incumbency remain the primary factors for voters.

The final phase of polling on April 29 will decide the state’s political future.